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건설업체들이 다시 과잉공급을 하고 있을까? 데이터로 살펴본 진실
최근 신축 주택 현수막이나 건설 현장을 자주 보시면서 혹시 ‘또 과잉공급이 시작된 것 아닌가’ 걱정하신 분들도 계실 것입니다. 하지만 데이터는 그런 우려보다는 ‘과잉이 아니라 조절’이라는 신호를 보내고 있습니다. 허가(permits)가 8개월 연속 하락 중 전미주택건설업협회(NAHB)의 최신 자료에 따르면 단독주택 건축 허가가 8개월 연속 감소하고 있다는 점이 가장 주목할 만한 부분입니다. 이는 건설업체들이 과거처럼 무리하게 ‘지금 짓고 팔기’ 전략을 펼치는 것이 아니라, 수요 흐름을 주시하면서 공급 속도를 조절하고 있다는 뜻입니다. 한 마디로 시장이 과거 2008년처럼 무너질 정도로 과잉되는 조짐은 지금으로서는 보이지 않습니다. 왜 이 시점이 다르냐면 2008년 금융위기 직전에는 수요가 줄어들었음에도 불구하고 건설업체들이 건축을 계속 확대했고, 그 결과 주택가격이 급락하는 악순환이 발생했었습니다. 반면 지금은 이미 그 이후 수년간 공급이 적었고
Nov 12, 20251 min read
🏡 Are Builders Oversupplying Again? A Data-Driven Look at the Truth
With new construction banners and job sites popping up around the city, many people are wondering: “Are we heading into another oversupply problem?” The data says no — in fact, it suggests builders are pulling back rather than pushing too hard. 📉 Building Permits Have Dropped for 8 Straight Months According to the latest data from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), single-family building permits have declined for eight consecutive months . This is one of
Nov 12, 20252 min read
🏠 The Rise of Renters: A Signal of Change in the U.S. Housing Market
Across the U.S., a renter-driven housing trend is becoming increasingly clear. More people are choosing to rent instead of buy, creating new opportunities for both sellers and buyers.This shift is especially notable in the Chicago and Illinois markets , signaling that it’s time to rethink traditional real estate strategies. Why Is America Turning “Renter-Centric”? With the ongoing rise in homeownership costs, renting is becoming a more practical choice.High down payments, ele
Nov 11, 20252 min read
Understanding the VA Home Loan
If you’ve served in the military — or your spouse has — you may already qualify for one of the most powerful homebuying benefits in the U.S. :the VA Home Loan , which allows eligible service members and veterans to buy a home with $0 down payment. Yet, according to Veterans United, nearly 70% of eligible veterans aren’t fully aware of this benefit — meaning 7 out of 10 are missing out on something they’ve already earned. Here’s what every veteran and military family should k
Nov 10, 20252 min read
Real Estate Investing: Is It Time to Sell or Hold?
Lately, many investors are asking themselves the same question: “Should I sell my property now, or keep holding it a bit longer?” It’s not just Baby Boomers thinking this way — even investors who bought during the pandemic at historically low interest rates (below 3%) are reassessing their next steps. Inventory remains tight, mortgage rates are gradually easing, and buyers are returning to the market. It might seem like a great moment to sell and lock in profits — but what ha
Nov 7, 20253 min read
🏡 How a U.S. Government Shutdown Affects the Housing Market
With talk of a possible government shutdown making headlines, many homeowners and buyers are asking: Will the housing market freeze too? The short answer is no — the market doesn’t stop. Homes are still bought and sold, contracts still move forward, and real estate agents continue their work as usual.While some processes may experience brief delays, the overall housing market remains active and resilient. ⚙️ What Actually Changes During a Shutdown When the federal governmen
Nov 6, 20252 min read
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